Playoff Projections

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Crimson's Ghost
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Playoff Projections

Postby Crimson's Ghost » October 26th, 2018, 11:22 am

I'm not going to show my work because it's probably wrong, but this is what I came up with...

Class A
1. Northern Cambria 8-2 1160
2. Juniata Valley 8-2 1140
3. Bishop Guilfoyle 7-3 1,050
4. Portage 7-3 1010
5. Homer-Center 6-4 830
6. Claysburg-Kimmel 6-4 760
7. United 5-5 730
8. Penns Manor 4-6 530
9. Conemaugh Valley 4-6 520
10. Blacklick Valley 4-6 500
11. Saltsburg 3-7 470
12. Bishop McCort 3-7 420

(12) Bishop McCort at (5) Homer-Center
(11) Saltsburg at (6) Claysburg-Kimmel
(10) Blacklick Valley at (7) United
(9) Conemaugh Valley at (8) Penns Manor 

First Four get byes*

Class AA
1.Richland 10-0 1550
2.Ligonier 10-0 1420
3.Bellwood-Antis 9-1 1290
4.Penns Valley 7-3 990
5.Southern Huntingdon 7-3 870
6.West Shamokin 5-5 660
7.Marion Center 5-5 660
8.West Branch 5-5 540

(8) West Branch at (1) Richland
(5) Southern Huntingdon at (4) Penns Valley
(6) West Shamokin at (3) Bellwood-Antis
(7) Marion Center at (2) Ligonier Valley

Class AAA
1. Bald Eagle Area 9-1 1280
2. Forest Hills 8-2 1090
3. Westmont 6-4 780
4. Huntingdon 5-5 600

(4) Huntingdon at (1) Bald Eagle
(3) Westmont at (2) Forest Hills



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Crimson's Ghost
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Re: Playoff Projections

Postby Crimson's Ghost » October 26th, 2018, 11:39 am

I think probably the biggest shakeup would be McCort's outcome against BG. If they lose, they get the 12 seed. If they win they jump to the No. 8 seed and would get a home playoff game. I don't expect McCort to win, but that's a big difference either way.

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Re: Playoff Projections

Postby PRFootball » October 26th, 2018, 12:22 pm

I don’t believe United will lose.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing"

Crimson's Ghost
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Re: Playoff Projections

Postby Crimson's Ghost » October 26th, 2018, 12:24 pm

Well in this little scenario, I have United losing. But it wouldn't surprise me if they win.

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Re: Playoff Projections

Postby PRFootball » October 26th, 2018, 12:32 pm

Although I do believe if they win, and they draw McCort first round, that will be a tough one ahead...
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing"

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Re: Playoff Projections

Postby BlueYonder » October 26th, 2018, 12:37 pm

Your scenarios for AA and AAA look very possible.  With A, it is almost an impossible task to predict exact seeding because there are so many 5-4 and 4-5 teams competing in the crossover games which have an impact.  If any one of several games go the other way, the seeding is affected.  It looks like you had LV, NC, CT, Meyersdale, HC, MC, BBV, and BV winning the relevant crossover games.  I could see that happening - but one or two wrong will impact the seeding. 

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Re: Playoff Projections

Postby lgb87cape » October 26th, 2018, 1:09 pm

Even if PC wins can they really make the playoffs?  If Tyrone wins no ? If Huntington wins yes? Or is it a done deal it doesn't matter what PC does Tyrone or Huntingdon is in with a win ??

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Re: Playoff Projections

Postby Crimson's Ghost » October 26th, 2018, 1:12 pm

I think so. If they beat Forest Hills that would be worth 170 points. But they would need to Huntingdon to beat Tyrone probably. 

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Re: Playoff Projections

Postby sasquatch260 » October 26th, 2018, 1:41 pm

PRFootball wrote:I don’t believe United will lose.

I agree, PRFootball. If United is firing on all cylinders, they will surprise a lot of people.

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Re: Playoff Projections

Postby DragonsDoExist » October 27th, 2018, 12:48 am

Thanks to the Heritage dominance over the WestPac Marion Center was able to go from outside looking in to clinching a spot without even taking the field Friday night. Unfortunately for them the reward is likely a rematch with LV.

Also a win Saturday night by Purchase Line would put them in a tie with Blacklick Valley for the 12th and final spot in 1A. PL would get the spot based on record vs common opponents by virtue of their win over Saltsburg last week.
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