Bowl game predictions
Posted: December 10th, 2008, 2:57 pm
I am going to stick to the only three that I really care about. Feel free to add others.
BCS Championship:
Oklahoma 42 Florida 31
I think this will be a great game. I am not sold on the Big 12 defenses that Oklahoma has been dismantling. However, I am less sold on the SEC as a great conference this year. I think the fact that Alabama was in the SEC championship shows more about how weak LSU and Auburn are than how good Alabama is. The same can be said for Florida and the SEC East with Tennessee and Georgia. I can't see a Florida defense without a senior starter slowing down Oklahoma. The game two years ago makes me wary, when Florida completely shut down a potent OSU offense. But that Florida team started 9 seniors on D and Oklahoma has a much better offense than OSU did.
Rose Bowl:
USC 24 Penn State 14
I could see this game being a USC rout, like every other USC vs. Big 10 game for the past 8 years. Or I could see PSU keeping this close by containing the USC offense. So I will split the difference. I don't think the Spread HD will pose problems for USC's defense, so I think it is on the Penn State defense to keep them in the game. The need to get pressure on Sanchez, because he is not great when pressured. They also need to force some turnovers. My gut tells me that USC will be prepared and motivated for this game. If that is the case, PSU will be dominated. However, if USC comes out expecting an easy game (possible after the way they beat OSU), PSU could surprise them.
Fiesta Bowl:
OSU 28 Texas 24
This is strictly a fan's pick. However, I really like OSU's chances in this game. Texas is a team that they are familiar with and that their defense has contained in the past. In the two meetings in 2005 and 2006, Texas averaged 16.0 ppg. This is a different Texas team, but I think it will give OSU some confidence. I also like the extra weeks of practice that Pryor will get before this game. If the OSU defense cannot contain Texas, this will not be close, but if they can, and I think they can, I think they can win. Everyone talks about the motivation for Texas after the snub, but OSU has similar motivation. A win over a team that many believe should be in the title game would restore some respect for the program.
I really hope that OSU and PSU win for the sake of the Big 10. The conference has not had a big win in a BCS bowl in quite a while. I think the last one was OSU over Kansas State in 2004.
BCS Championship:
Oklahoma 42 Florida 31
I think this will be a great game. I am not sold on the Big 12 defenses that Oklahoma has been dismantling. However, I am less sold on the SEC as a great conference this year. I think the fact that Alabama was in the SEC championship shows more about how weak LSU and Auburn are than how good Alabama is. The same can be said for Florida and the SEC East with Tennessee and Georgia. I can't see a Florida defense without a senior starter slowing down Oklahoma. The game two years ago makes me wary, when Florida completely shut down a potent OSU offense. But that Florida team started 9 seniors on D and Oklahoma has a much better offense than OSU did.
Rose Bowl:
USC 24 Penn State 14
I could see this game being a USC rout, like every other USC vs. Big 10 game for the past 8 years. Or I could see PSU keeping this close by containing the USC offense. So I will split the difference. I don't think the Spread HD will pose problems for USC's defense, so I think it is on the Penn State defense to keep them in the game. The need to get pressure on Sanchez, because he is not great when pressured. They also need to force some turnovers. My gut tells me that USC will be prepared and motivated for this game. If that is the case, PSU will be dominated. However, if USC comes out expecting an easy game (possible after the way they beat OSU), PSU could surprise them.
Fiesta Bowl:
OSU 28 Texas 24
This is strictly a fan's pick. However, I really like OSU's chances in this game. Texas is a team that they are familiar with and that their defense has contained in the past. In the two meetings in 2005 and 2006, Texas averaged 16.0 ppg. This is a different Texas team, but I think it will give OSU some confidence. I also like the extra weeks of practice that Pryor will get before this game. If the OSU defense cannot contain Texas, this will not be close, but if they can, and I think they can, I think they can win. Everyone talks about the motivation for Texas after the snub, but OSU has similar motivation. A win over a team that many believe should be in the title game would restore some respect for the program.
I really hope that OSU and PSU win for the sake of the Big 10. The conference has not had a big win in a BCS bowl in quite a while. I think the last one was OSU over Kansas State in 2004.