D6 Playoff Scenarios/Rundown

[lhacbigfan]

I posted this in the playoff thread but I thought I should make it's own.
One week to go, yet so much is still unknown in the playoff picture. Here is a rundown of the basics for each team and where they could finish. So many seeds/berths look like they will come down to 10 points here or there so it is impossible to list every scenario but if you have any questions on a specific team let me know and I'll try to give you a more detailed answer. Here we go....

D6 A
Bellwood Antis- Clinched the #1 seed.
Portage- Will clinch #2 seed with win, or could fall the whole way to #5 with a loss.
Penns Manor/Juniata Valley- My projections have JV finishing ahead of PM by 10 points but an upset here or there could change things. If they both win and Portage wins, these teams will end up 3 and 4 but if Homer upsets Portage, they will move up to 2 and 3. Either could drop to #5 with a loss.
Bishop Guilfoyle- Will mostly likely finish at #5, barring an upset loss by any of the top 4.
Bishop McCort- All but locked into the #6 seed.
Northern Cambria/Homer-Center- Both would clinch a playoff spot with a win and would most likely be out with a loss.
Glendale- If either NC or HC falter, I have Glendale as the next team in. They should beat Ferndale and move up.
Blacklick Valley- Tricky scenario here for the Vikings. It looks like they need NC and HC to lose and also for Mo Valley to lose to Blairsville for them to squeak in as the 8 seed. Would be tough to miss the playoffs at 7-3 but it very well could happen.
Moshannon Valley- Looks like they need a win plus losses by NC and HC to get in. In that scenario I have them tied with Glendale for the 7 seed, but Glendale would win the tiebraker with their head to head win.
Blairsville- All but eliminated. Needs a win and lots of help to get in.

AA
Richland- Clinched the #1 seed.
Central/Ligonier Valley/Cambria Heights- If all win this week, the 2-4 seeds will come down to power points. My projections have Central getting the 2, Heights getting the 3, and LV the 4. Again though these could change very easily with an upset somewhere. A loss by any of these teams could possibly drop them the whole way to #6. That's how close it is folks.
Tyrone- Will most likely get the 5 seed barring a loss by any of the three above teams. Could drop down as far as 7 with a loss.
Forest Hills- Will most likely get the 6 seed. Could move up a spot or down a spot based on the results of Tyrone and Bald Eagle.
Bald Eagle- Most likely stuck here at 7. However, an upset win over Ligonier Valley this week would move them up a few spots.
Juniata/Penn Cambria- It's this simple. If Penn Cambria beats Somerset they will get in. If PC loses and Juniata wins, Juniata will get in.

Remember, with the way power points go, 10 points here or there could change seedings. I tried to do the best I could explaining them all but it is still pretty confusing. Again, if anyone has a question about anything particular just ask and I'll try and answer it for you. Can't wait till after this week when all that will matter is what happens on the field.

[Crimson's Ghost]

Soooooo, to take an educated guess at the 8 single A teams.

1. Bellwood
2. Portage
3. Penns Manor
4. Juniata Valley
5. Bishop Guilfoyle
6. Bishop McCort
^^^ All clinched?
7. Glendale
8. Mo Valley

Is that fair?

[konjo78]

How does Penns Manor Move ahead of Juniata and mo valley gets in? just wondering if Blairsville losing means Penns Manor loses points on JV

[lhacbigfan]

Top 6 have clinched, yes.

With NC and HC being underdogs this week, I agree with Glendale at 7.

Not sure what to think of Mo Valley, they looked decent most of the year, but that loss to Williamsburg a few weeks back is a real head scratcher. If they can beat Blairsville they should get in, that is if NC and HC both lose. If they lose, Blacklick squeaks in.

Konjo, I have JV ahead of PM by 10 points and that is with Blairsville beating Mo Valley. If Mo Valley wins, that would be a 20 point swing in JV's favor. I have JV finishing at 3 and PM finishing at 4. Either way you are probably going to get BG or BM in the first round.

[Crimson's Ghost]

my bad, wasn't looking at points....more so trying to figure out who the 8 teams were.

[Crimson's Ghost]

So Crushers going to Juniata Valley in week one more than likely?

[lhacbigfan]

Yes, probably a better draw than going to Penns Manor I would think.

[lhacbigfan]

Good luck to all teams tonight. I'll try and get everything sorted out and posted on here tonight as soon as I get scores from all the games.

[Crimson's Ghost]

Well Bellwood is 1, Portage 2. Where do we go from there

[lhacbigfan]

Well it looks like we have the (almost) final seedings for the playoffs. A few games on Saturday will determine the 8 seeds but the top 7 are set. Remember these are unofficial but they should be right.

A
1. Bellwood-Antis
2. Portage
3. Penns Manor
4. Juniata Valley
5. Bishop Guilfoyle
6. Bishop McCort
7. Northern Cambria

The 8th seed comes down to Saturday. If Glendale beats Ferndale they are in, if they lose Blairsville gets in.

AA
1. Richland
2. Ligonier Valley
3. Central
4. Tyrone
5. Cambria Heights
6. Forest Hills
7. Bald Eagle Area

The 8th seed comes down to Saturday. If Penn Cambria beats Somerset they are in, if they lose Juniata is in.

Matchups will be:
A
8 Glendale/Blairsville at 1 Bellwood-Antis (Friday)
5 Bishop Guilfoyle at 4 Juniata Valley (Saturday)
6 Bishop McCort at 3 Penns Manor (Saturday)
7 Northern Cambria at 2 Portage (Friday)

AA
8 Penn Cambria/Juniata at 1 Richland (Friday)
5 Cambria Heights at 4 Tyrone (Saturday)
6 Forest Hills at 3 Central (Saturday)
7 Bald Eagle Area at 2 Ligonier Valley (Friday)