College Football picks
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fleaflicker
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College Football picks
week 12....
Tuesday night
Bowling Green Falcons at Miami (OH) Redhawks (7:00 pm)
Bowling Green is usually a pretty good team, but right now, they are having a down year. Nonetheless, both teams have a 4-2 conference record, and are playing for the lead in the MAC East. Chances are, the winner of this one will play Toledo in the MAC title game. And also, with what I know about these teams, chances are, Miami will be the one playing in the MAC title game. Redhawks by 7.
Ohio Bobcats at Akron Zips (7:30 pm)
Ohio has improved considerably under Frank Solich, and they're only a win away from .500. However, three of the four teams they've beaten have a combined 6-24 record. The other one, Pittsburgh, was a fluky win, but a win nonethless. Needless to say, even if the Zips have the same record, I don't like Ohio's chances. Akron by 10.
Wednesday night
Northern Illinois Huskies at Toledo Rockets (7:30 pm)
This is a big MAC game that could determine how the title game shapes up. If Toledo loses, NIU would be in control of the MAC West, and would simply have to beat Western Michigan next week to get to the title game. However, Toledo is really good not only on offense, but on defense. The Rockets probably have one of the best defenses in the nation (yardage wise) giving up only 300 yards per game. NIU is good, and they are better than their 5-4 record, but they really shouldn't plan on booking the MAC title game just yet.... Toledo by 10.
Saturday
Central Michigan Chippewas at Ball State Cardinals (12:00 pm)
Central Michigan needs one more win to have a winning record. Ball State already has 6 losses. But I have to give Ball State credit. They haven't had an easy schedule. No Kent State, no Buffalo, no Temple. The worst team Ball State has faced this season is Ohio, which really halfway decent (at least measuring by the MAC standard). And yet they still have 4 wins, and they've won the last three straight. Two of those last three, and three of the four wins, have come on the road. Ball State is really hot right now, and will finally get a chance to please the home crowd by ruining CMU's bid for a winning season. Ball State by 7.
Northwestern Wildcats at Illinois Fighting Illini (12:00 pm)
Northwestern is coming off a surprisingly lopsided loss to Ohio State. I never thought it would be a 48-7 blowout. However, they get one more game in which to move up in position for a bowl game, and to gain some momentum. Fortunately, it's not too hard to get things rolling against Illinois. Northwestern's spread offense will make this ugly, though Illinois, in facing the Big Ten's worst defense, might stay in the game til early in the second quarter (not half, lol). Northwestern by 35.
Minnesota Golden Gophers at Iowa Hawkeyes (12:00 pm)
Minnesota is an alright team, but they've only managed to beat who they should, and lose to who they should. The only upset Minnesota has pulled was at Michigan. Other than that, they have Big Ten wins against Purdue, Indiana, and Michigan state, along with OOC wins against Tulsa, FAU, and
Colorado State. Not good enough, when facing an Iowa team that has some serious momentum after ruining Barry Alverez' last home game against a very solid Wisconsin team. Iowa has some serious momentum, and they'll get one more win here to finish the season. Iowa by 10.
Boston College Eagles at Maryland Terrapins (12:00 pm)
Boston College is still in the running for a decent late December bowl game, maybe even an early January game with some luck. All they need to do is win this game. And after the hiccup against UNC and manhandling NC State, I think BC is done losing to teams that they shouldn't lose to. Boston College by 13.
Cincinnati Bearcats at South Florida Bulls (12:00 pm)
This South Florida team is still in the mix for a Big East title if they just win out. Beating Cincinnati, Connecticut, and West Virginia would ensure a BCS berth. This is step one to getting there. By winning this game, South Florida would have 6 wins and be bowl eligible. Here we go..... USF by 30.
Oklahoma Sooners at Texas Tech Red Raiders (12:00 pm)
After a 2-3 start, the Sooners have won 4 straight. Meanwhile, the teams that they have lost to have compiled a total record of 29-2. Texas Tech is 8-2, with a loss to unbeaten Texas and an Oklahoma State team that is going to be home over the holidays. Texas Tech is way overrated, and Oklahoma is going to drag their pass attack down a few notches. Sooners by 10.
Virginia Tech Hokies at Virginia Cavaliers (12:00 pm)
Virginia Tech could still get at large BCS berth (though it may be unlikely) if they can win out to finish 10-1. This game against the on again-off again Virginia Cavaliers may be tough-- if the Cavaliers are on. But the Hokies will still be able to pull it out. On the other hand, if the Cavaliers aren't on, VT wins in a blowout. My guess though, is that Virginia will be on. Virginia Tech by 7.
Kentucky Wildcats at Georgia Bulldogs (12:30 pm)
This is another game that will take place 'between the hedges,' as Georgia fans call their field. Rich Brooks looks for more job security as Georgia looks to clinch a spot in the SEC title game. If UK somehow pulls the upset, South Carolina will get a spot in the SEC title game. However, I just don't see Georgia losing this one. Mainly, because there is no way short of a miracle that Kentucky can win it. Georgia by 30.
Vanderbilt Commodores at Tennessee Bolunteers (12:30 pm)
Phil Fulmer looks to save himself by getting a bowl bid, while Vandy looks to spoil Tennessee's already disappointing season by pulling the upset. Unfortunately for Vanderbilt, their hopes of a bowl bid were ruined last week by a loss to Kentucky. Tennessee kept their bowl hopes alive by beating Memphis. If Vandy would have beaten UK last week, I might pick them for the upset here. However, UT has all the momentum coming into this game, and Phil Fulmer will hang onto his job for one more season (maybe) by becoming bowl eligible. Tennessee by 6.
Arkansas State Indians at Army Black Knights (1:00 pm)
Here is how bad the Sun Belt is. ASU is a 5-4 team looking to clinch a winning regular season this week. Army has already lost 6 games. But this is no contest. Army by 21.
Purdue Boilermakers at Indiana Hoosiers (1:00 pm)
Both teams have horrid defenses, and both are at 4-6 for the year. Even though Purdue's defense is allowing 299 yards per game, it is Indiana's defense that is going to get gunned down. Purdue's offense is getting over 400 yards per game, and this offense is going to take special care in picking apart IU's secondary. Indiana doesn't have the offense to hang on in this shootout. Purdue by 17.
Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines (1:00 pm)
Coach Iagulli isn't going to like this. He isn't going to like this at all. My former track coach is an Ohio State alumni, and as such, he absolutely hates the Wolverines. Ohio State has a really solid team that has the best run defense in the Big Ten, and hasn't lost since the Penn State game. They have played good, solid football, and have done what they needed to between Week 6 and now. Michigan, however, has home field advantage, and lots of momentum heading into this game. This is a huge rivalry game, and there is nothing that Lloyd Carr's team would love more than spoiling Ohio State's chances for an at large BCS bid. Ohio State had better look out, as the Big House is going to be packed. Michigan by 3.
Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels (1:00 pm)
The question isn't whether Duke has a chance at pulling out an ACC win this season, it is whether or not there is any way at all that UNC can lose this game. And short of 21 of the 22 first string players at UNC coming down with a mysterious illness, there probably isn't one. North Carolina by 27.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at North Carolina State Wolfpack (1:00 pm)
Middle Tennessee can't even win games inside the Sun Belt conference. Since this is an out of conference game against a I-A opponent, MTSU doesn't stand a chance. NC State by 30.
Eastern Michigan Eagles at Buffalo Bulls (1:30 pm)
Congratulations to the Buffalo Bulls on getting their first win of the season against a horrible Kent State team. However, don't get too fired up, as that's the only win your team is going to get this year. Eastern Michigan by 21.
Temple Owls at Navy Midshipmen (1:30 pm)
This should be a nice warm up for the Army game that takes place two weeks after this. Army, after pulling an upset over Air Force, will be looking for their first commander in chief trophy in a long time. Temple, however, in this game, will be looking for their first win in a very long time. This is the last possible chance that Temple has to win this season. Navy is favored by 27 points. YES! Temple will do it! They will cover the spread. Navy by 24.
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Arkansas Razorbacks (2:00 pm)
Arkansas just improved to 3-7 by beating Ole Miss last week. Mississippi State didn't play last week, but has 6 consecutive losses to think over. Those came to Georgia, LSU, Florida, HOUSTON, KENTUCKY, and Alabama. Notice the emphasis. I don't think even Arkansas could pull off a Kentucky loss. Chances are, they won't pull off a loss to Mississippi State either. Arkansas by 10.
Oklahoma State Cowboys at Baylor Bears (2:00 pm)
Neither team is bowl eligible, both of them stink, even though Baylor is slightly better than usual. Oklahoma State pulled off an upset of Texas Tech, but that still doesn't change the fact that they suck. Baylor will get their fifth, and final, win of the season. Baylor by 6.
Missouri Tigers at Kansas State Wildcats (2:10 pm)
Both teams are Big 12 stinkers, and neither one is really that great. That said, Missouri has a decent offense, and a really gifted QB by the name of Brad Smith. Kansas State doesn't have the defense needed to contain this really gifted QB. Missouri by 13.
New Mexico Lobos at Air Force Falcons (2:30 pm)
New Mexico, with 6 wins, is now bowl eligible. They are also one game ahead of CSU in the Mountain West, but need to win to guarentee a third place conference finish. But with them facing Air Force to close out the season, that shouldn't be too difficult. The Falcons have gone downhill after a fairly strong start to the season, losing 3 straight games, and 7 of the past 8. The one win was against UNLV. Ouch! New Mexico will make it four straight losses. Lobos by 17.
Syracuse Orange at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2:30 pm)
I'm not sure how this happened, but Syracuse is sixth in passing yards allowed per game, and about 12th in the passing rating of opposing QBs. In other words, their secondary doesn't seem to be responsible for their 1 win record right now. However, it still doesn't keep them from being a horrible team. And Syracuse hasn't faced a QB like Brady Quinn yet. Notre Dame will win this game rather easily. UND by 30.
Idaho Vandals at Boise State Broncos (3:00 pm)
I don't know if you'd actually believe this, but this game is a rivalry game. Yeah, even though it's not much of a rivalry at this point, Boise State has played Idaho every year for state supremacy, and this year is no different. But it's not really like Idaho has a chance.... BSU by 42.
Utah Utes at Brigham Young Cougars (3:00 pm)
Brigham Young is looking for bowl placement, while Utah is just looking to become bowl eligible after a sub par season. Unfortunately for Utah, BYU is very hot right now, and has won their last three games. In other words, after this game, Utah can start planning for next season. BYU by 17.
University of Central Florida Golden Knights at Rice Owls (3:00 pm)
Yes, I put out the full name for UCF in respect for their great turnaround this year. After starting 0-2, and having a 17 game losing streak spanning through the first two games of this season, UCF has won 7 of the past 8, and now all they need to do is beat Rice to clinch a berth in the C-USA title game. And the University of Central Florida will beat Rice handily. UCF by 21.
Nevada Wolf Pack at Utah State Aggies (3:00 pm)
Eh, don't bother watching. There are other, more meaningful games on. Especially since Utah State is so awful, that even fans of the team can't bear to watch them, lest they get transfixed and hypnotized by their sheer lack of ability. Nonetheless, Nevada doesn't have that problem, and they know enough to look away whenevery they can. So they shouldn't have too much problem winning. Nevada by 24.
Washington State Cougars at Washington Huskies (3:15 pm)
Now that the Huskies have their one unexpected Pac 10 win, they will return to earth. However, they will keep this close for one reason, and one reason only: this is a huge rivalry game. Keeping that in mind, I'll take Washington State by 10.
Alabama Crimson Tide at Auburn Tigers (3:30 pm)
Can the Crimson Tide win the distinction of being the best college team in Alabama? You bet. There's two things working here for the Tide: First, even though they lost to LSU, that brought them back down to earth, and a team often plays more inspired and better football immediately following a loss. Why? They don't want to lose again. Secondly, they have no real pressure on them to go undefeated or even win their division of the SEC any longer. The loss to LSU not only deprived Bama of an undefeated season, but took control of the SEC West from them. Bama must win and hope for LSU to lose to get an SEC title game berth. It isn't likely to happen. Since Alabama, then, is left playing for nothing more than pride and distinction, and maybe (a bit of a long shot) a BCS bowl game, they should be able to win this game. Even at the Iron Bowl. Alabama by 4.
Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan State Spartans (4:00 pm)
The naysayers still aren't impressed. Last week it was a predicted loss to Wisconsin, and this week it's a predicted loss to a very down Michigan State team. Last week's prediction didn't come true, and this week's predicted loss to Michigan State isn't going to happen either. Penn State can practically smell the BCS from here, and they aren't going to ruin their chances for a berth. Penn State by 16.
Colorado State Rams at UNLV Rebels (4:00 pm)
There are two reasons nobody is going to pay attention to this game. First, Penn State's game against MSU comes on at the same time. Second, who wants to watch UNLV, the worst team in the Mountain West, get blown out? The good news for Colorado State is that a win here makes them bowl eligible. And trust me: they will win. CSU by 24.
East Carolina Pirates at Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall is too good to lose a game like this. ECU is the worst team in the NCAA that has 3 wins or more. Marshall has four. Besides, if they win here and at Memphis, Marshall will be eligible to play the Sun Belt in the New Orleans bowl. It might happen. Anyhow, Marshall by 14.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Florida International Golden Panthers (6:00 pm)
Florida International, other than a fluke win over LA Monroe, has only a win over Florida A&M to its claim. Western Kentucky is better than the Rattlers. However, they are only SLIGHTLY better. So I'm still going to take FIU, though an upset wouldn't surprise me in the least. Anyhow, FIU by 10.
Southern Methodist Mustangs at Houston Cougars (6:00 pm)
Houston feels mighty good after ruining Southern Miss' shot at the C-USA title game, or all but doing it. Maybe a little TOO good. However, SMU still isn't THAT good. So, in this game, Houston's going to come out a little flat. A little half time pep talk will fix it though. Houston by 10.
New Mexico State Aggies at San Jose State Spartans (6:00 pm)
New Mexico State is the only team affiliated with a I-A conference that hasn't won a single game yet. They only need to lose one more to finish the season totally winless. And even though San Jose State is bad, NMSU will manage that dubious distinction of being 0-11. SJSU by 10.
UAB Blazers at UTEP Miners (6:15 pm)
UTEP is in line to win the C-USA title if they keep winning. They have beaten everybody on their slate but Memphis, and I'm inclined to think that that was a fluke loss more than anything else. If they win one of the next two games, they clinch the C-USA West for a title game against (more than likely) Central Florida. I don't think they'll need next week to do it. The division title will be theirs by 10:00 pm tomorrow night. UTEP by 17.
Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks (6;45 pm)
Oregon is one bad half against USC away from being undefeated. Problem is, it was one very bad half, as they got outscored 35-0. Nonetheless, this is very much an under the radar PAC 10 team that can get into a BCS game if a few things go their way (like Ohio State and Virginia Tech losing). They will handle their end of the equation. Oregon by 17.
Louisiana Monroe Indians at North Texas Mean Green (7:00 pm)
There is one thing that seals North Texas' fate: this is a home game. That's right, UNT is winless at home. I guess they don't feel the love this year. They'll feel even less love after dropping yet another home game to another crappy team. LA Monroe by 13.
Clemson Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks (7:00 pm)
The Ole Ball Coach has his Gamecocks at second place in the SEC East. But this isn't an SEC game. This is a rivalry game. And the bad blood runs deep, seeing as the two teams brawled last year and got suspended from bowl games, though both were eligible. This year, both teams are again bowl eligible. It's just that Steve Spurriers team will get a bit better game and a bit bigger paycheck. Gamecocks by 13.
California Golden Bears at Stanford Cardinal (7:00 pm)
Cal isn't that hot this year, and they are still stuck with a third string QB. Stanford has gotten better after losing to UC Davis, and is looking to get a win for a bowl game somewhere. Since the Cardinal has more on the line for this game, and is every bit as good as the Golden Bears right now, I think they'll pull the upset. Stanford by 6.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Tulane Green Wave (7:00 pm)
Tulsa, to get to the C-USA title game, has to win out, and pray for UTEP to lose out. In any case, playing a Tulane team that has just lost to Rice makes their end a bit easier (though UTEP still won't lose out). This team stinks. Anyhow, Tulsa will handle this rather easily. Golden Hurricane by 17.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Miami (FL) Hurricanes (7:45 pm)
This could be a trap game for Miami if they look past the Yellow Jackets. The problem is there isn't much for them to look at. Virginia isn't great, and Florida State is bad right now. So what's the trap? Oh forget it. Miami by 16.
LSU Tigers at Mississippi Rebels (7:45 pm)
Ole Miss can't beat anybody, and LSU would be unbeaten but for giving up 21 points to Tennessee in the fourth quarter. Ouch. LSU is playing like they want to make up for that. How will they do it? How about beating Mississippi by 21 points? LSU by 21.
Wyoming Cowboys at San Diego State Aztecs (8:00 pm)
Neither team is bowl eligible, and both have the same records. Thing is, Wyoming has lost 5 straight. Sorry, make it 6. SDSU by 7.
Memphis Tigers at Southern Miss Golden Eagles (8:30 pm)
Southern Miss would still have a berth in the C-USA title game if they hadn't had 2 road games within a span of five days. If they had played Houston as regularly scheduled in September, they would have won. Nonetheless, what matters now, at least to Southern Miss, is this game. They aren't napping or saying woe is me. They just want to win. And even though Memphis has DeAngelo Williams, they have little else. So Southern Miss will win. USM by 14.
Fresno State Bulldogs at USC Trojans (10:15 pm)
Fresno State is good, but there is no way they are this good. Though I hate USC with a passion, and would love nothing better than to see Fresno slay the giant, this is one giant they can't handle. USC by 24.
Monday
Miami (OH) Redhawks at Ohio Bobcats (7:30 pm)
Though Miami has lost control of their fate regarding the MAC title game, they won't play like it. They'll win this one against the hapless, but improving, Bobcats. I'll give Solich credit for making this a somewhat better team. But he'll have them even better next year. Win or lose, after this game, Ohio is in the wait til next year situation. At least they have something to look forward to. But for now: Miami by 17.
Tuesday night
Bowling Green Falcons at Miami (OH) Redhawks (7:00 pm)
Bowling Green is usually a pretty good team, but right now, they are having a down year. Nonetheless, both teams have a 4-2 conference record, and are playing for the lead in the MAC East. Chances are, the winner of this one will play Toledo in the MAC title game. And also, with what I know about these teams, chances are, Miami will be the one playing in the MAC title game. Redhawks by 7.
Ohio Bobcats at Akron Zips (7:30 pm)
Ohio has improved considerably under Frank Solich, and they're only a win away from .500. However, three of the four teams they've beaten have a combined 6-24 record. The other one, Pittsburgh, was a fluky win, but a win nonethless. Needless to say, even if the Zips have the same record, I don't like Ohio's chances. Akron by 10.
Wednesday night
Northern Illinois Huskies at Toledo Rockets (7:30 pm)
This is a big MAC game that could determine how the title game shapes up. If Toledo loses, NIU would be in control of the MAC West, and would simply have to beat Western Michigan next week to get to the title game. However, Toledo is really good not only on offense, but on defense. The Rockets probably have one of the best defenses in the nation (yardage wise) giving up only 300 yards per game. NIU is good, and they are better than their 5-4 record, but they really shouldn't plan on booking the MAC title game just yet.... Toledo by 10.
Saturday
Central Michigan Chippewas at Ball State Cardinals (12:00 pm)
Central Michigan needs one more win to have a winning record. Ball State already has 6 losses. But I have to give Ball State credit. They haven't had an easy schedule. No Kent State, no Buffalo, no Temple. The worst team Ball State has faced this season is Ohio, which really halfway decent (at least measuring by the MAC standard). And yet they still have 4 wins, and they've won the last three straight. Two of those last three, and three of the four wins, have come on the road. Ball State is really hot right now, and will finally get a chance to please the home crowd by ruining CMU's bid for a winning season. Ball State by 7.
Northwestern Wildcats at Illinois Fighting Illini (12:00 pm)
Northwestern is coming off a surprisingly lopsided loss to Ohio State. I never thought it would be a 48-7 blowout. However, they get one more game in which to move up in position for a bowl game, and to gain some momentum. Fortunately, it's not too hard to get things rolling against Illinois. Northwestern's spread offense will make this ugly, though Illinois, in facing the Big Ten's worst defense, might stay in the game til early in the second quarter (not half, lol). Northwestern by 35.
Minnesota Golden Gophers at Iowa Hawkeyes (12:00 pm)
Minnesota is an alright team, but they've only managed to beat who they should, and lose to who they should. The only upset Minnesota has pulled was at Michigan. Other than that, they have Big Ten wins against Purdue, Indiana, and Michigan state, along with OOC wins against Tulsa, FAU, and
Colorado State. Not good enough, when facing an Iowa team that has some serious momentum after ruining Barry Alverez' last home game against a very solid Wisconsin team. Iowa has some serious momentum, and they'll get one more win here to finish the season. Iowa by 10.
Boston College Eagles at Maryland Terrapins (12:00 pm)
Boston College is still in the running for a decent late December bowl game, maybe even an early January game with some luck. All they need to do is win this game. And after the hiccup against UNC and manhandling NC State, I think BC is done losing to teams that they shouldn't lose to. Boston College by 13.
Cincinnati Bearcats at South Florida Bulls (12:00 pm)
This South Florida team is still in the mix for a Big East title if they just win out. Beating Cincinnati, Connecticut, and West Virginia would ensure a BCS berth. This is step one to getting there. By winning this game, South Florida would have 6 wins and be bowl eligible. Here we go..... USF by 30.
Oklahoma Sooners at Texas Tech Red Raiders (12:00 pm)
After a 2-3 start, the Sooners have won 4 straight. Meanwhile, the teams that they have lost to have compiled a total record of 29-2. Texas Tech is 8-2, with a loss to unbeaten Texas and an Oklahoma State team that is going to be home over the holidays. Texas Tech is way overrated, and Oklahoma is going to drag their pass attack down a few notches. Sooners by 10.
Virginia Tech Hokies at Virginia Cavaliers (12:00 pm)
Virginia Tech could still get at large BCS berth (though it may be unlikely) if they can win out to finish 10-1. This game against the on again-off again Virginia Cavaliers may be tough-- if the Cavaliers are on. But the Hokies will still be able to pull it out. On the other hand, if the Cavaliers aren't on, VT wins in a blowout. My guess though, is that Virginia will be on. Virginia Tech by 7.
Kentucky Wildcats at Georgia Bulldogs (12:30 pm)
This is another game that will take place 'between the hedges,' as Georgia fans call their field. Rich Brooks looks for more job security as Georgia looks to clinch a spot in the SEC title game. If UK somehow pulls the upset, South Carolina will get a spot in the SEC title game. However, I just don't see Georgia losing this one. Mainly, because there is no way short of a miracle that Kentucky can win it. Georgia by 30.
Vanderbilt Commodores at Tennessee Bolunteers (12:30 pm)
Phil Fulmer looks to save himself by getting a bowl bid, while Vandy looks to spoil Tennessee's already disappointing season by pulling the upset. Unfortunately for Vanderbilt, their hopes of a bowl bid were ruined last week by a loss to Kentucky. Tennessee kept their bowl hopes alive by beating Memphis. If Vandy would have beaten UK last week, I might pick them for the upset here. However, UT has all the momentum coming into this game, and Phil Fulmer will hang onto his job for one more season (maybe) by becoming bowl eligible. Tennessee by 6.
Arkansas State Indians at Army Black Knights (1:00 pm)
Here is how bad the Sun Belt is. ASU is a 5-4 team looking to clinch a winning regular season this week. Army has already lost 6 games. But this is no contest. Army by 21.
Purdue Boilermakers at Indiana Hoosiers (1:00 pm)
Both teams have horrid defenses, and both are at 4-6 for the year. Even though Purdue's defense is allowing 299 yards per game, it is Indiana's defense that is going to get gunned down. Purdue's offense is getting over 400 yards per game, and this offense is going to take special care in picking apart IU's secondary. Indiana doesn't have the offense to hang on in this shootout. Purdue by 17.
Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines (1:00 pm)
Coach Iagulli isn't going to like this. He isn't going to like this at all. My former track coach is an Ohio State alumni, and as such, he absolutely hates the Wolverines. Ohio State has a really solid team that has the best run defense in the Big Ten, and hasn't lost since the Penn State game. They have played good, solid football, and have done what they needed to between Week 6 and now. Michigan, however, has home field advantage, and lots of momentum heading into this game. This is a huge rivalry game, and there is nothing that Lloyd Carr's team would love more than spoiling Ohio State's chances for an at large BCS bid. Ohio State had better look out, as the Big House is going to be packed. Michigan by 3.
Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels (1:00 pm)
The question isn't whether Duke has a chance at pulling out an ACC win this season, it is whether or not there is any way at all that UNC can lose this game. And short of 21 of the 22 first string players at UNC coming down with a mysterious illness, there probably isn't one. North Carolina by 27.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at North Carolina State Wolfpack (1:00 pm)
Middle Tennessee can't even win games inside the Sun Belt conference. Since this is an out of conference game against a I-A opponent, MTSU doesn't stand a chance. NC State by 30.
Eastern Michigan Eagles at Buffalo Bulls (1:30 pm)
Congratulations to the Buffalo Bulls on getting their first win of the season against a horrible Kent State team. However, don't get too fired up, as that's the only win your team is going to get this year. Eastern Michigan by 21.
Temple Owls at Navy Midshipmen (1:30 pm)
This should be a nice warm up for the Army game that takes place two weeks after this. Army, after pulling an upset over Air Force, will be looking for their first commander in chief trophy in a long time. Temple, however, in this game, will be looking for their first win in a very long time. This is the last possible chance that Temple has to win this season. Navy is favored by 27 points. YES! Temple will do it! They will cover the spread. Navy by 24.
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Arkansas Razorbacks (2:00 pm)
Arkansas just improved to 3-7 by beating Ole Miss last week. Mississippi State didn't play last week, but has 6 consecutive losses to think over. Those came to Georgia, LSU, Florida, HOUSTON, KENTUCKY, and Alabama. Notice the emphasis. I don't think even Arkansas could pull off a Kentucky loss. Chances are, they won't pull off a loss to Mississippi State either. Arkansas by 10.
Oklahoma State Cowboys at Baylor Bears (2:00 pm)
Neither team is bowl eligible, both of them stink, even though Baylor is slightly better than usual. Oklahoma State pulled off an upset of Texas Tech, but that still doesn't change the fact that they suck. Baylor will get their fifth, and final, win of the season. Baylor by 6.
Missouri Tigers at Kansas State Wildcats (2:10 pm)
Both teams are Big 12 stinkers, and neither one is really that great. That said, Missouri has a decent offense, and a really gifted QB by the name of Brad Smith. Kansas State doesn't have the defense needed to contain this really gifted QB. Missouri by 13.
New Mexico Lobos at Air Force Falcons (2:30 pm)
New Mexico, with 6 wins, is now bowl eligible. They are also one game ahead of CSU in the Mountain West, but need to win to guarentee a third place conference finish. But with them facing Air Force to close out the season, that shouldn't be too difficult. The Falcons have gone downhill after a fairly strong start to the season, losing 3 straight games, and 7 of the past 8. The one win was against UNLV. Ouch! New Mexico will make it four straight losses. Lobos by 17.
Syracuse Orange at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2:30 pm)
I'm not sure how this happened, but Syracuse is sixth in passing yards allowed per game, and about 12th in the passing rating of opposing QBs. In other words, their secondary doesn't seem to be responsible for their 1 win record right now. However, it still doesn't keep them from being a horrible team. And Syracuse hasn't faced a QB like Brady Quinn yet. Notre Dame will win this game rather easily. UND by 30.
Idaho Vandals at Boise State Broncos (3:00 pm)
I don't know if you'd actually believe this, but this game is a rivalry game. Yeah, even though it's not much of a rivalry at this point, Boise State has played Idaho every year for state supremacy, and this year is no different. But it's not really like Idaho has a chance.... BSU by 42.
Utah Utes at Brigham Young Cougars (3:00 pm)
Brigham Young is looking for bowl placement, while Utah is just looking to become bowl eligible after a sub par season. Unfortunately for Utah, BYU is very hot right now, and has won their last three games. In other words, after this game, Utah can start planning for next season. BYU by 17.
University of Central Florida Golden Knights at Rice Owls (3:00 pm)
Yes, I put out the full name for UCF in respect for their great turnaround this year. After starting 0-2, and having a 17 game losing streak spanning through the first two games of this season, UCF has won 7 of the past 8, and now all they need to do is beat Rice to clinch a berth in the C-USA title game. And the University of Central Florida will beat Rice handily. UCF by 21.
Nevada Wolf Pack at Utah State Aggies (3:00 pm)
Eh, don't bother watching. There are other, more meaningful games on. Especially since Utah State is so awful, that even fans of the team can't bear to watch them, lest they get transfixed and hypnotized by their sheer lack of ability. Nonetheless, Nevada doesn't have that problem, and they know enough to look away whenevery they can. So they shouldn't have too much problem winning. Nevada by 24.
Washington State Cougars at Washington Huskies (3:15 pm)
Now that the Huskies have their one unexpected Pac 10 win, they will return to earth. However, they will keep this close for one reason, and one reason only: this is a huge rivalry game. Keeping that in mind, I'll take Washington State by 10.
Alabama Crimson Tide at Auburn Tigers (3:30 pm)
Can the Crimson Tide win the distinction of being the best college team in Alabama? You bet. There's two things working here for the Tide: First, even though they lost to LSU, that brought them back down to earth, and a team often plays more inspired and better football immediately following a loss. Why? They don't want to lose again. Secondly, they have no real pressure on them to go undefeated or even win their division of the SEC any longer. The loss to LSU not only deprived Bama of an undefeated season, but took control of the SEC West from them. Bama must win and hope for LSU to lose to get an SEC title game berth. It isn't likely to happen. Since Alabama, then, is left playing for nothing more than pride and distinction, and maybe (a bit of a long shot) a BCS bowl game, they should be able to win this game. Even at the Iron Bowl. Alabama by 4.
Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan State Spartans (4:00 pm)
The naysayers still aren't impressed. Last week it was a predicted loss to Wisconsin, and this week it's a predicted loss to a very down Michigan State team. Last week's prediction didn't come true, and this week's predicted loss to Michigan State isn't going to happen either. Penn State can practically smell the BCS from here, and they aren't going to ruin their chances for a berth. Penn State by 16.
Colorado State Rams at UNLV Rebels (4:00 pm)
There are two reasons nobody is going to pay attention to this game. First, Penn State's game against MSU comes on at the same time. Second, who wants to watch UNLV, the worst team in the Mountain West, get blown out? The good news for Colorado State is that a win here makes them bowl eligible. And trust me: they will win. CSU by 24.
East Carolina Pirates at Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall is too good to lose a game like this. ECU is the worst team in the NCAA that has 3 wins or more. Marshall has four. Besides, if they win here and at Memphis, Marshall will be eligible to play the Sun Belt in the New Orleans bowl. It might happen. Anyhow, Marshall by 14.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Florida International Golden Panthers (6:00 pm)
Florida International, other than a fluke win over LA Monroe, has only a win over Florida A&M to its claim. Western Kentucky is better than the Rattlers. However, they are only SLIGHTLY better. So I'm still going to take FIU, though an upset wouldn't surprise me in the least. Anyhow, FIU by 10.
Southern Methodist Mustangs at Houston Cougars (6:00 pm)
Houston feels mighty good after ruining Southern Miss' shot at the C-USA title game, or all but doing it. Maybe a little TOO good. However, SMU still isn't THAT good. So, in this game, Houston's going to come out a little flat. A little half time pep talk will fix it though. Houston by 10.
New Mexico State Aggies at San Jose State Spartans (6:00 pm)
New Mexico State is the only team affiliated with a I-A conference that hasn't won a single game yet. They only need to lose one more to finish the season totally winless. And even though San Jose State is bad, NMSU will manage that dubious distinction of being 0-11. SJSU by 10.
UAB Blazers at UTEP Miners (6:15 pm)
UTEP is in line to win the C-USA title if they keep winning. They have beaten everybody on their slate but Memphis, and I'm inclined to think that that was a fluke loss more than anything else. If they win one of the next two games, they clinch the C-USA West for a title game against (more than likely) Central Florida. I don't think they'll need next week to do it. The division title will be theirs by 10:00 pm tomorrow night. UTEP by 17.
Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks (6;45 pm)
Oregon is one bad half against USC away from being undefeated. Problem is, it was one very bad half, as they got outscored 35-0. Nonetheless, this is very much an under the radar PAC 10 team that can get into a BCS game if a few things go their way (like Ohio State and Virginia Tech losing). They will handle their end of the equation. Oregon by 17.
Louisiana Monroe Indians at North Texas Mean Green (7:00 pm)
There is one thing that seals North Texas' fate: this is a home game. That's right, UNT is winless at home. I guess they don't feel the love this year. They'll feel even less love after dropping yet another home game to another crappy team. LA Monroe by 13.
Clemson Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks (7:00 pm)
The Ole Ball Coach has his Gamecocks at second place in the SEC East. But this isn't an SEC game. This is a rivalry game. And the bad blood runs deep, seeing as the two teams brawled last year and got suspended from bowl games, though both were eligible. This year, both teams are again bowl eligible. It's just that Steve Spurriers team will get a bit better game and a bit bigger paycheck. Gamecocks by 13.
California Golden Bears at Stanford Cardinal (7:00 pm)
Cal isn't that hot this year, and they are still stuck with a third string QB. Stanford has gotten better after losing to UC Davis, and is looking to get a win for a bowl game somewhere. Since the Cardinal has more on the line for this game, and is every bit as good as the Golden Bears right now, I think they'll pull the upset. Stanford by 6.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Tulane Green Wave (7:00 pm)
Tulsa, to get to the C-USA title game, has to win out, and pray for UTEP to lose out. In any case, playing a Tulane team that has just lost to Rice makes their end a bit easier (though UTEP still won't lose out). This team stinks. Anyhow, Tulsa will handle this rather easily. Golden Hurricane by 17.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Miami (FL) Hurricanes (7:45 pm)
This could be a trap game for Miami if they look past the Yellow Jackets. The problem is there isn't much for them to look at. Virginia isn't great, and Florida State is bad right now. So what's the trap? Oh forget it. Miami by 16.
LSU Tigers at Mississippi Rebels (7:45 pm)
Ole Miss can't beat anybody, and LSU would be unbeaten but for giving up 21 points to Tennessee in the fourth quarter. Ouch. LSU is playing like they want to make up for that. How will they do it? How about beating Mississippi by 21 points? LSU by 21.
Wyoming Cowboys at San Diego State Aztecs (8:00 pm)
Neither team is bowl eligible, and both have the same records. Thing is, Wyoming has lost 5 straight. Sorry, make it 6. SDSU by 7.
Memphis Tigers at Southern Miss Golden Eagles (8:30 pm)
Southern Miss would still have a berth in the C-USA title game if they hadn't had 2 road games within a span of five days. If they had played Houston as regularly scheduled in September, they would have won. Nonetheless, what matters now, at least to Southern Miss, is this game. They aren't napping or saying woe is me. They just want to win. And even though Memphis has DeAngelo Williams, they have little else. So Southern Miss will win. USM by 14.
Fresno State Bulldogs at USC Trojans (10:15 pm)
Fresno State is good, but there is no way they are this good. Though I hate USC with a passion, and would love nothing better than to see Fresno slay the giant, this is one giant they can't handle. USC by 24.
Monday
Miami (OH) Redhawks at Ohio Bobcats (7:30 pm)
Though Miami has lost control of their fate regarding the MAC title game, they won't play like it. They'll win this one against the hapless, but improving, Bobcats. I'll give Solich credit for making this a somewhat better team. But he'll have them even better next year. Win or lose, after this game, Ohio is in the wait til next year situation. At least they have something to look forward to. But for now: Miami by 17.
Last edited by fleaflicker on November 20th, 2005, 10:45 pm, edited 9 times in total.
"To give anything less than the best is to sacrifice the gift." -Steve Prefontaine
-
The Ancient Enemy
- Official BleacherCoach
- Posts: 7549
- Joined: October 30th, 2004, 2:47 pm
Re: Week 12 picks
Frosty, that's great news. I am pulling for Solich all the way in the MAC.
Bowling Green vs. Miami Ohio:
====================
- Two teams who have taken a step backwards this season, but MoHo does have somewhat of an excuse, as they lost their coach to Indiana. The new head coach (I forget his name) is doing a nice job, though, and I think they'll pull out a win here.
Ohio vs. Akron:
============
- Close call, give me Akron in what should be a great game.
Bowling Green vs. Miami Ohio:
====================
- Two teams who have taken a step backwards this season, but MoHo does have somewhat of an excuse, as they lost their coach to Indiana. The new head coach (I forget his name) is doing a nice job, though, and I think they'll pull out a win here.
Ohio vs. Akron:
============
- Close call, give me Akron in what should be a great game.
-
fleaflicker
- Official BleacherCoach
- Posts: 1947
- Joined: March 13th, 2004, 12:32 am
Don't worry frostlion, Frank Solich is a good coach, and provided he stays another year or two, Ohio will be back in the running for the MAC. And he'll probably leave then, but have the program elevated enough that somebody good enough to keep it there will take over. In other words, this might be Ohio's start to a string of successful seasons, if they play it right.
"To give anything less than the best is to sacrifice the gift." -Steve Prefontaine
-
fleaflicker
- Official BleacherCoach
- Posts: 1947
- Joined: March 13th, 2004, 12:32 am
need a bump to work in peace
Adding TAE's picks to help me add up when I get around to it, though really, now is as good a time as any....
Cincinnati vs. South Florida:
==================
- USF by 2 dozen. That's 24 for all you Pitt graduates.
Boston College vs. Maryland:
===================
- Eag's are struggling. Give me Maryland at home.
Virginia Tech vs. Virginia:
=================
- Tech needs this to save face. Hokies.
Arkansas State vs. Army:
=================
- Go with coaching. Army.
Northwestern vs. Illinois:
================
- Zook is already working the recruiting magic with success, this game is a big recruiting battle. Give me NW by 25.
Central Michigan vs. Ball State:
======================
- Ball's are better than people think, but give me CMU.
Minnesota vs. Iowa:
==============
- Gotta take the Hawkeyes. Watch out for Amir Pinnik for Minnesota. You heard it hear first.
Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech:
=================
- I'm gonna call this upset and take OU. Here's their Top 25 invitation.
Kentucky vs. Georgia:
===============
- Dawgs but closer than you think.
Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee:
==================
- Pulling for Cutler but Vols by a dozen.
Purdue vs. Indiana:
==============
- I'd really like to see this upset, but give me Purdue. Close game though.
Ohio State vs. Michigan:
=================
- At the big house, Tressel and OSU win again.
MTSU vs. NC State:
=============
- Amato and company get another win.
Duke vs. North Carolina:
==================
- Heels win again. Should have won last week, botched the playcalling and lost at the end. I like this team though.
Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalo:
===================
- Two in a row for lameduck Hofner? No.
Temple vs. Navy:
=============
- Navy by 30.
Mississippi State vs. Arkansas:
=====================
- Best backfield in the SEC: Arkansas. You heard it here first: fear Arkansas in 06. Razors by a dozen.
Oklahoma State vs. Baylor:
===================
- Yes, these two teams are a combined 1-10 in their last 11 games. OSU by 3.
Tulsa vs. Tulane:
============
- Kragthorpe has his team back on the right track. Tulane sucks.
Missouri vs. Kansas State:
==================
- Don't you love games like this? Who is more over-rated: Bill Snyder or Gary Pinkel? Hopefully BOTH will be gone at the end of the season. Jesus, give me... Missouri.
Syracuse vs. Notre Dame:
===================
- Seen the Cuse play? ND by 50.
Air Force vs. New Mexico:
=================
- New Mexico.
Central Florida vs. Rice:
=================
- UCF is the best story of the season. They win again.
Utah vs. BYU:
==========
- Utah but I'm taller. And Mormon. In-State pillow fight winner is.... BYU.
Idaho vs. Boise State:
=================
- In-state pillow fight winner is.... Boise State.
Nevada vs. Utah State:
=================
- Does anyone watch WAC football? They have to average about 10,000 fans a game. Nevada.
Washington State vs. Washington:
======================
- Apple Bowl? I saw someone referred to this on another site as the Rotten Apple Bowl. Give me Wazzou.
Alabama vs. Auburn:
================
- Tigers win again.
Penn State vs. Michigan State:
======================
- Since 96 or 97, top ten teams in East Lansing are 0-6. EEEEK. 1-6 after this week, though. Lions by 16.
Colorado State vs. UNLV:
=================
- Rams by 15.
East Carolina vs. Marshall:
==================
- I will not pick a team coached by Spanky Holtz.
New Mexico State vs. San Jose State:
=========================
- Give me the Spartans!!!!!
SMU vs. Houston:
=============
- Cougars by 20.
Western Kentucky vs. Florida International:
===============================
- WKU does have a win over West Virginia Tech, who Ia m sure is very stout. FIU by 15.
UAB vs. UTEP:
==========
- Miners but this is upset material.
Oregon State vs. Oregon:
==================
- Oregon by a million.
Cal vs. Stanford:
=============
- Cal by 2 million.
LA Monroe vs. North Texas:
===================
- How bad does this sound: "Louisiana Monroe ruined our homecoming." Monroe by 20.
Clemson vs. South Carolina:
===================
- This is quite even. Give me USC, I guess.
LSU vs. Mississippi:
===============
- LSU by a ton.
Georgia Tech vs. Miami:
=================
- Canes huge.
Wyoming vs. San Diego State:
=====================
- Aztecs in a minor upset.
Memphis vs. Southen Miss:
==================
- I hate to do this, but give me Memphis.
Fresno State vs. USC:
================
- People think this will be an upset? USC will beat Fresno by 40 points.
Adding TAE's picks to help me add up when I get around to it, though really, now is as good a time as any....
Cincinnati vs. South Florida:
==================
- USF by 2 dozen. That's 24 for all you Pitt graduates.
Boston College vs. Maryland:
===================
- Eag's are struggling. Give me Maryland at home.
Virginia Tech vs. Virginia:
=================
- Tech needs this to save face. Hokies.
Arkansas State vs. Army:
=================
- Go with coaching. Army.
Northwestern vs. Illinois:
================
- Zook is already working the recruiting magic with success, this game is a big recruiting battle. Give me NW by 25.
Central Michigan vs. Ball State:
======================
- Ball's are better than people think, but give me CMU.
Minnesota vs. Iowa:
==============
- Gotta take the Hawkeyes. Watch out for Amir Pinnik for Minnesota. You heard it hear first.
Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech:
=================
- I'm gonna call this upset and take OU. Here's their Top 25 invitation.
Kentucky vs. Georgia:
===============
- Dawgs but closer than you think.
Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee:
==================
- Pulling for Cutler but Vols by a dozen.
Purdue vs. Indiana:
==============
- I'd really like to see this upset, but give me Purdue. Close game though.
Ohio State vs. Michigan:
=================
- At the big house, Tressel and OSU win again.
MTSU vs. NC State:
=============
- Amato and company get another win.
Duke vs. North Carolina:
==================
- Heels win again. Should have won last week, botched the playcalling and lost at the end. I like this team though.
Eastern Michigan vs. Buffalo:
===================
- Two in a row for lameduck Hofner? No.
Temple vs. Navy:
=============
- Navy by 30.
Mississippi State vs. Arkansas:
=====================
- Best backfield in the SEC: Arkansas. You heard it here first: fear Arkansas in 06. Razors by a dozen.
Oklahoma State vs. Baylor:
===================
- Yes, these two teams are a combined 1-10 in their last 11 games. OSU by 3.
Tulsa vs. Tulane:
============
- Kragthorpe has his team back on the right track. Tulane sucks.
Missouri vs. Kansas State:
==================
- Don't you love games like this? Who is more over-rated: Bill Snyder or Gary Pinkel? Hopefully BOTH will be gone at the end of the season. Jesus, give me... Missouri.
Syracuse vs. Notre Dame:
===================
- Seen the Cuse play? ND by 50.
Air Force vs. New Mexico:
=================
- New Mexico.
Central Florida vs. Rice:
=================
- UCF is the best story of the season. They win again.
Utah vs. BYU:
==========
- Utah but I'm taller. And Mormon. In-State pillow fight winner is.... BYU.
Idaho vs. Boise State:
=================
- In-state pillow fight winner is.... Boise State.
Nevada vs. Utah State:
=================
- Does anyone watch WAC football? They have to average about 10,000 fans a game. Nevada.
Washington State vs. Washington:
======================
- Apple Bowl? I saw someone referred to this on another site as the Rotten Apple Bowl. Give me Wazzou.
Alabama vs. Auburn:
================
- Tigers win again.
Penn State vs. Michigan State:
======================
- Since 96 or 97, top ten teams in East Lansing are 0-6. EEEEK. 1-6 after this week, though. Lions by 16.
Colorado State vs. UNLV:
=================
- Rams by 15.
East Carolina vs. Marshall:
==================
- I will not pick a team coached by Spanky Holtz.
New Mexico State vs. San Jose State:
=========================
- Give me the Spartans!!!!!
SMU vs. Houston:
=============
- Cougars by 20.
Western Kentucky vs. Florida International:
===============================
- WKU does have a win over West Virginia Tech, who Ia m sure is very stout. FIU by 15.
UAB vs. UTEP:
==========
- Miners but this is upset material.
Oregon State vs. Oregon:
==================
- Oregon by a million.
Cal vs. Stanford:
=============
- Cal by 2 million.
LA Monroe vs. North Texas:
===================
- How bad does this sound: "Louisiana Monroe ruined our homecoming." Monroe by 20.
Clemson vs. South Carolina:
===================
- This is quite even. Give me USC, I guess.
LSU vs. Mississippi:
===============
- LSU by a ton.
Georgia Tech vs. Miami:
=================
- Canes huge.
Wyoming vs. San Diego State:
=====================
- Aztecs in a minor upset.
Memphis vs. Southen Miss:
==================
- I hate to do this, but give me Memphis.
Fresno State vs. USC:
================
- People think this will be an upset? USC will beat Fresno by 40 points.
Last edited by fleaflicker on November 22nd, 2005, 11:53 pm, edited 2 times in total.
"To give anything less than the best is to sacrifice the gift." -Steve Prefontaine
-
fleaflicker
- Official BleacherCoach
- Posts: 1947
- Joined: March 13th, 2004, 12:32 am
Re: College Football picks
TAE had a pretty decent week last week, going 36-12, while I went 33-15. He regained his lead, and now leads the scorekeeping games with a record of 443-152, while my own record is 441-154. Since I did week 10 picks while he was at Penn State (man, wish I could have been there), my total record is 476-168. Going on....
Week 13 picks...
Tuesday night
Toledo Rockets at Bowling Green Falcons (7:00 pm)
Omar Jacobs is back! Last week against Miami, he three for 178 yards, 3 touchdowns, and two picks. Not that impressive. Except Miami threw five picks to give the game to Bowling Green and allow them to make it a blowout. Somehow, I have my doubts about this game. I doubt that Omar Jacobs is completely healthy and is going to look like an All American in this game. And I also doubt Toledo's going to throw five picks. And Toledo also has the mental edge because ever since 1971, Toledo has had a deactivated rocket that is aimed for the 50 yard line of Bowling Green's field. That should tell you what kind of a rivalry this is. All that being said, I'm taking Toledo by 10.
Wednesday
Western Michigan Broncos at Northern Illinois Huskies (1:30 pm)
With a win here, Northern Illinois would clinch a spot in the MAC title game, with a head to head over Toledo, and this win knocking Western Michigan out of the tied logjam on top of the MAC West. NIU also has the momentum going after taking Toledo behind the woodshed last week. So what else can I do? NIU by 13.
Thursday
Kent State Golden Flashes at Akron Zips (10:00 am)
Akron has a slim shot of playing for the MAC title, still. All they need to do is have Bowling Green AND Miami (OH) lose, and beat Kent State. If they manage that, they have the head to head advantage over BGSU, and Miami, which would have the head to head over Akron, would be out of the tiebreaker. Well, it's a nice thought, but it's still not going to happen. Nonetheless, Akron will take care of business for a winning season. Zips win by 17.
Pittsburgh Panthers at West Virginia Mountaineers (8:00 pm)
Well, this is yet another Thanksgiving day edition of the backyard brawl, this one being in West Virginia. Expect big hit, big plays, and taunting as these two teams take their hatred for one another onto the playing field. And also expect West Virginia to win. This is a rivalry game, so it might be closer than anticipated, but I'm going to take WVU by 21.
Friday
Texas Longhorns at Texas A&M Aggies (12:00 pm)
I am really hoping for a Longhorn loss here so that deliverence will shut up, but it looks like I probably am going to have to wait until the Rose Bowl. Texas A&M is too soft and too far down this year to really stand much of a chance. Reggie McNeal might make it interesting for a half. Texas by 27.
Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU Tigers (2:30 pm)
I can't believe I saw commercials hyping this matchup. This isn't much of a matchup. LSU is an overtime touchdown away from an undefeated season, but they shouldn't have given up 24 to Tennessee in the fourth quarter to start with. Arkansas is already well aware that they will be home for the holidays. LSU will be playing in January. Are they due for a letdown? It would take quite a letdown for this to be even close, let alone have Arkansas win. LSU by 27.
Arizona Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils (3:00 pm)
Another big rivalry game between two Pac 10 teams that hate one another. Both have horrid defenses and good offense, so expect a shootout. Arizona State needs a win for a bowl game and they will pull it out- barely. Sun Devils by 7.
Nebraska Cornhuskers at Colorado Buffaloes (3:30 pm)
A win here gives the Buffs to go to the Big 12 title game and get blown out by Texas, seeing as the 'Horns have clinched the Big 12 South. I'm sure Colorado is ignorant of how insignificant this game is, since it doesn't matter who wins the Big 12 North. They will win it against Bill Callihan's disappointing team. Buffs by 13.
Wisconsin Badgers at Hawaii Warriors (9:00 pm)
Wisconsin is playing for the ninth win of the season, by taking an extra Thanksgiving day game at Hawaii. Barry Alvarez' squad was disappointed that they failed to win their coach's final home game. They will win his final game though. Wisconsin by 27.
Here are TAE's weekday picks. I like doing it in the same post for convenience purposes really, but it doesn't matter....
Toledo vs. Bowling Green:
===================
- I guess I'll take Toledo, but this is a complete toss-up.
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinois:
=========================
- I'll take NIU in what would appear to be an almost upset.
Kent State vs. Akron:
=================
- Zips at home.
Pittsburgh vs. West Virginia:
===================
- I always like a lil' Blowout with my turkey. I'm not talking about flatulence, either. Unless of course you consider Wannstedt's coaching as flatulence, which is a good comparison. WVU by 70.
Texas vs. Texas A&M:
===============
- Yeah. UT by 200.
Arkansas vs. LSU:
============
- Unfortunately, LSU wins again.
Arizona vs. Arizona State:
==================
- Give me the Wildcats in an upset.
Nebraska vs. Colorado:
=================
- Rape U. wins by 3.
Wisconsin vs. Hawaii:
===============
- Badgers by 30.
Week 13 picks...
Tuesday night
Toledo Rockets at Bowling Green Falcons (7:00 pm)
Omar Jacobs is back! Last week against Miami, he three for 178 yards, 3 touchdowns, and two picks. Not that impressive. Except Miami threw five picks to give the game to Bowling Green and allow them to make it a blowout. Somehow, I have my doubts about this game. I doubt that Omar Jacobs is completely healthy and is going to look like an All American in this game. And I also doubt Toledo's going to throw five picks. And Toledo also has the mental edge because ever since 1971, Toledo has had a deactivated rocket that is aimed for the 50 yard line of Bowling Green's field. That should tell you what kind of a rivalry this is. All that being said, I'm taking Toledo by 10.
Wednesday
Western Michigan Broncos at Northern Illinois Huskies (1:30 pm)
With a win here, Northern Illinois would clinch a spot in the MAC title game, with a head to head over Toledo, and this win knocking Western Michigan out of the tied logjam on top of the MAC West. NIU also has the momentum going after taking Toledo behind the woodshed last week. So what else can I do? NIU by 13.
Thursday
Kent State Golden Flashes at Akron Zips (10:00 am)
Akron has a slim shot of playing for the MAC title, still. All they need to do is have Bowling Green AND Miami (OH) lose, and beat Kent State. If they manage that, they have the head to head advantage over BGSU, and Miami, which would have the head to head over Akron, would be out of the tiebreaker. Well, it's a nice thought, but it's still not going to happen. Nonetheless, Akron will take care of business for a winning season. Zips win by 17.
Pittsburgh Panthers at West Virginia Mountaineers (8:00 pm)
Well, this is yet another Thanksgiving day edition of the backyard brawl, this one being in West Virginia. Expect big hit, big plays, and taunting as these two teams take their hatred for one another onto the playing field. And also expect West Virginia to win. This is a rivalry game, so it might be closer than anticipated, but I'm going to take WVU by 21.
Friday
Texas Longhorns at Texas A&M Aggies (12:00 pm)
I am really hoping for a Longhorn loss here so that deliverence will shut up, but it looks like I probably am going to have to wait until the Rose Bowl. Texas A&M is too soft and too far down this year to really stand much of a chance. Reggie McNeal might make it interesting for a half. Texas by 27.
Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU Tigers (2:30 pm)
I can't believe I saw commercials hyping this matchup. This isn't much of a matchup. LSU is an overtime touchdown away from an undefeated season, but they shouldn't have given up 24 to Tennessee in the fourth quarter to start with. Arkansas is already well aware that they will be home for the holidays. LSU will be playing in January. Are they due for a letdown? It would take quite a letdown for this to be even close, let alone have Arkansas win. LSU by 27.
Arizona Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils (3:00 pm)
Another big rivalry game between two Pac 10 teams that hate one another. Both have horrid defenses and good offense, so expect a shootout. Arizona State needs a win for a bowl game and they will pull it out- barely. Sun Devils by 7.
Nebraska Cornhuskers at Colorado Buffaloes (3:30 pm)
A win here gives the Buffs to go to the Big 12 title game and get blown out by Texas, seeing as the 'Horns have clinched the Big 12 South. I'm sure Colorado is ignorant of how insignificant this game is, since it doesn't matter who wins the Big 12 North. They will win it against Bill Callihan's disappointing team. Buffs by 13.
Wisconsin Badgers at Hawaii Warriors (9:00 pm)
Wisconsin is playing for the ninth win of the season, by taking an extra Thanksgiving day game at Hawaii. Barry Alvarez' squad was disappointed that they failed to win their coach's final home game. They will win his final game though. Wisconsin by 27.
Here are TAE's weekday picks. I like doing it in the same post for convenience purposes really, but it doesn't matter....
Toledo vs. Bowling Green:
===================
- I guess I'll take Toledo, but this is a complete toss-up.
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinois:
=========================
- I'll take NIU in what would appear to be an almost upset.
Kent State vs. Akron:
=================
- Zips at home.
Pittsburgh vs. West Virginia:
===================
- I always like a lil' Blowout with my turkey. I'm not talking about flatulence, either. Unless of course you consider Wannstedt's coaching as flatulence, which is a good comparison. WVU by 70.
Texas vs. Texas A&M:
===============
- Yeah. UT by 200.
Arkansas vs. LSU:
============
- Unfortunately, LSU wins again.
Arizona vs. Arizona State:
==================
- Give me the Wildcats in an upset.
Nebraska vs. Colorado:
=================
- Rape U. wins by 3.
Wisconsin vs. Hawaii:
===============
- Badgers by 30.
Last edited by fleaflicker on November 24th, 2005, 12:12 am, edited 2 times in total.
"To give anything less than the best is to sacrifice the gift." -Steve Prefontaine
-
fleaflicker
- Official BleacherCoach
- Posts: 1947
- Joined: March 13th, 2004, 12:32 am
Re: College Football picks
Week 13 Saturday picks
UAB Blazers at East Carolina Pirates (12:00 pm)
I'm tempted to pick ECU to pull a slight upset here, but I cannot in good conscience pick a team that gives up over 200 yards a game rushing over a halfway decent opponent. Enter UAB. They get most of their yards through the air, which is the strong point of ECU's defense, but UAB has surely got to be smart enough to run the ball against the Pirates. UAB by 10.
Maryland Terrapins at North Carolina State Wolfpack (12:00 pm)
Will Chuck Amato be able to get his NC State team a win and a bowl game? This is what it all comes down to: one game. So I say yes, Chuck will be taking NC State to a bowl game this year, but it's going to be close. Wolfpack by 3.
Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas Jayhawks (12:30 pm)
With a win here and a Colorado loss, Iowa State will be in the Big 12 title game against Texas. And since I have Colorado winning on Friday, I'll pick Iowa State to win on Saturday against the horrible Kansas Jayhawks. Of course, if Colorado loses, Iowa State will probably choke with the division title on the line, but I can't do picks with an if. So, Iowa State by 7.
Tennessee Volunteers at Kentucky Wildcats (12:30 pm)
It isn't strange that Tennessee isn't fighting for bowl eligibility for the last game of the year, as they are normally already bowl eligible. What is strange is that Tennessee isn't fighting for a bowl berth because they already have 6 losses. Neither team has anything to lose, really. But UK beat Vandy, which beat Tennessee, so.... Nah, that doesn't work. Vandy's loss to Kentucky was a bit of a fluke. Tennessee by 20.
Cincinnati Bearcats at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1:00 pm)
Interestingly enough, Rutgers hasn't won a game since become bowl eligible. But Rutgers has also played two of the Big East's better teams, South Florida and Louisville, since becoming bowl eligible. Cincinnati should (finally) give the Scarlet Knights win number 7. Rutgers by 21.
Boise State Broncos at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (2:00 pm)
This will be an interesting showdown, as Boise State isn't as dominant as they were the past few years, and Tech is still in the running for a WAC title if they knock off the Broncos and the Fresno State Bulldogs. It's not very likely to happen, even if it is closer than normal, but Boise State will actually have a bit of a battle on their hands with this Louisiana Tech team. This is a trap game. So will BSU pull out the win? Yes, but not by much. Boise State by 3.
Marshall Thundering Herd at Memphis Tigers (2:00 pm)
One of the nation's best running backs, who is likely to be a future NFL first rounder (well, maybe second at lowest), is playing the what may possibly be the last game of his college football career. Marshall is a better team, really, even if they are no longer bowl eligible and have a record slightly worse than Memphis. However, Marshall isn't playing for anything, while Memphis is still playing for a winning season and a possible bowl berth (depending on how the New Orleans bowl likes Memphis). Also, it's sure to be an emotional game since this is the Tiger's last home game, and DeAngelo William's last home game in a college uniform. So, even though Marshall is the better team, the better team doesn't always win. Memphis is jacked up, and they will win. Memphis by 7.
Arkansas State Indians at North Texas Mean Green (2:00 pm)
What happened? North Texas, normally the Sun Belt's best team, hasn't won a single home game this year, and they are becoming a pushover within their own conference. This is a really tough year. And this shouldn't be happening with Patrick Cobbs and Jamario Thomas in the same backfield. This team has the NCAA's last two rushing champions, and they only average 140 yards rushing the ball per game, which is pretty low by NCAA standards. Let that sink in a second. Ok, ready? Arkansas State by 13.
Mississippi Rebels at Mississippi State Bulldogs (2:30 pm)
Two things, first, Mississippi State lost to Kentucky. Yes, Kentucky. Second, Sylvester Croom said, "I don't ever think about Ole Miss. If our kids play as well as they can play, we're going to beat their butt." Note to Croom: When your team is struggling like they are, you try to avoid giving the opponent anything that can be used as bulletin board material. It can and will be used against you, no matter what you intended. Mississippi Rebels by 10.
UTEP Miners at Southern Methodist Mustangs (3:00 pm)
Well, if UTEP loses this one, Tulsa could win their division of C-USA with a win. But UTEP isn't very likely to lose this one. After getting upset by UAB last week, they're going to come out and play twice as hard this week, and make sure they get the win and remain in the C-USA title game. UTEP by 30.
Tulane Green Wave at Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3:00 pm)
Yeah, yeah, it's great that Tulane was able to field a football team this season even though their city was destroyed and all that nice stuff. It's even better though, that the season is almost done, as horrible as they have been lately. Southern Miss by 13.
South Florida Bulls at Connecticut Huskies (3:30 pm)
What once started out as a promising season for Connecticut has quickly turned into a disaster. Of course, anytime a team goes down to its third string QB, nine times out of ten, the season is shot. South Florida still has a chance at a Big East title if they can win out by winning this game and against West Virginia. And of course, so far as I know, USF hasn't gone down to their third string QB. South Florida by 21.
Florida State Seminoles at Florida Gators (3:30 pm)
I know this is a rivalry game and all, and that FSU was coasting for the past few weeks after tying up their division in the ACC, but I can't help but think they've lost some of their competitive fire. And anytime a team loses its competitive fire, it becomes a lot harder to win. Florida by 13.
Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns at Louisiana Monroe Indians (3:30 pm)
Here it is, the Sun Belt classic. TThis in state rivalry within the Sun Belt could determine who will play in the New Orleans bowl. LA Lafayette is motivated by the chance that this game offers, because if they win and North Texas wins, they win the Sun Belt title. La Monroe though, is just as motivated not to let the Sun Belt title slip away. This is going be a close call, but I think I'll take the Indians. LA Monroe by 3.
Syracuse Orange at Louisville Cardinals (3:30 pm)
Well, this one is going to get ugly. Louisville is able to score at will anytime they are playing at home, and they already beat the snot out of a better than usual Rutgers team playing here a few weeks back to the tune of 56-5. Ouch! Syracuse is even worse than that. The line is Louisville by 36 1/2. It's hard to judge because of all the things that could happen that affect the score but not the outcome, like a missed field goal, subbing in the second and third teams, that sort of thing. Nonetheless, if somebody's going to cover, it will probably be Louisville. Cardinals by 50.
Virginia Cavaliers at Miami (FL) Hurricanes (3:30 pm)
Virginia has played Virginia Tech and gotten blown out, right after Virginia Tech got beaten by Miami and had something to prove. Now Virginia travels to Miami right after the Hurricanes loss to the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, and now it's Miami that has something to prove. In other words, Virginia is playing the best teams at the worst possible times. Miami by 27.
Oklahoma State Cowboys at Oklahoma Sooners (3:30 pm)
The Sooners are coming into this game after a gut wrenching loss to Texas Tech (which Oklahoma State beat, interestingly enough) looking to bounce back and end the regular season on a good note. With the Sooners coming off a loss, they'll came back, play twice as hard, and get the win. Oklahoma by 24.
Rice Owls at Houston Cougars (4:00 pm)
Houston lost to SMU (yes, that SMU) last week, and look to rebound against an even worse opponent this week. They really need a win here to make themselves bowl eligible. The good news is that the Cougars shouldn't have any real trouble doing that. Houston by 21.
Utah State Aggies at New Mexico State Aggies (4:00 pm)
This is awful. The Aggies are fighting over which Aggies team is worse. The combined record of these two cupcakes is a combined 2-19, with NMSU at 0-11 and Utah State at 2-8. This is the pillowfight of the week folks. And I bring to you two offenses that can't score and two defenses that cannot defend. New Mexico State is averaging 261 yards per game passing, which is alright except that their rush game averages only 75 yards, and their defense gives up over 200 yards rushing and over 275 yards passing per game. Utah State is bad, but I think New Mexico will keep their winless streak intact. Utah State by 6.
Florida International Golden Panthers at Florida Atlantic Owls (6:00 pm)
Why is it that the worst teams have the longest names? Anyways, since this is a rivalry game, and the teams play very similarly, this is going to be a very close game. However, FAU has home field advantage, and the desire to beat the other Sun Belt team from Florida. Even though FIU has a little bit of momentum by winning last week, it was 3 points against Western Kentucky. Not much good. Sorry. FAU by 3 at home.
Idaho Vandals at San Jose State Spartans (6:00 pm)
San Jose State is on a roll, and should be able to close out the season with two straight wins. Idaho is almost as bad as New Mexico State, and San Jose State has home field advantage. It won't be a cakewake, since both teams are cupcakes, but SJSU should get the home win. San Jose State by 7.
Fresno State Bulldogs at Nevada Wolf Pack (7:00 pm)
Both teams are closing out their season on a Saturday night. Nevada might have a shot at the upset if they can catch Fresno State a little hung over from the close game at USC, but it's still going to have a hard time keeping the Bulldogs from the WAC title. Due to Fresno State playing at USC last week, Nevada should cover the line, but Fresno State will still clinch the WAC title. Fresno State by 10.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Troy Trojans (7:00 pm)
No matter what happens, both teams will close out with losing records, and neither one will be playing in the New Orleans bowl. Nonetheless, Troy will be highly motivated to not lose its last home game, and will pull out the close win. Trojans by 3.
North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Tech Hokies (7:45 pm)
Frank Beamer must have gotten something right, as last week, after a demoralizing loss to Miami, he whipped up a can on Virginia to the tune of 52-14. Since Miami lost, VT is once again in control of the Coastal Division. A win here should clinch the opportunity to play Florida State. John Bunting, on the other sideline, is playing just for a winning season. But he sure did pick a bad situation in which to have a 'must-win' game. Whoops. Virginia Tech by 27.
Georgia Bulldogs at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (8:00 pm)
This is a nasty little in state rivalry. Georgia, no matter what happens, is playing in the SEC title game, and Georgia Tech, no matter what happens, is still out of the running for the ACC title game. This game is strictly for bowl positioning. But it is also for pride and recruiting within Georgia. Though Georgia Tech is very confident after pulling the upset over Miami, they are bound for a letdown. Georgia by 6.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Stanford Cardinal (8:00 pm)
And there's the season. Notre Dame is playing for a 14 million dollar paycheck, and Stanford is fighting just to get into a bowl game. Money is a big motivator, as well as pride and prestige, and Notre Dame has the edge in all categories. Stanford, well, they need lots of work on defense. Notre Dame's going to rip the defense a new arse. I'm gonna say UND may hang up half a hundred. Notre Dame by 30.
TAE's picks:
UAB vs. East Carolina:
================
- I refuse to select a team coached by Spanky Holtz.
Maryland vs. NC State:
=================
- I like Amato more than Friedgen, so give me NC State.
Tennessee vs. Kentucky:
==================
- I'd expect Tennessee to come out and destroy UK just to prove a point.
Iowa State vs. Kansas:
===============
- Dan McCarney is a joke of a coach that chokes incessantly. I think they will probably win this game, though, unfortunately. Kansas is fighting for a bowl bid. I guess I'll take Iowa State.
Cincinnati vs. Rutgers:
================
- Another potential upset. God, I would love to see Cincinnati beat Rutgers. Grudza is going to be one of the best Big East QB's in a year or two, and will be better than ol' Gino eventually. Give me the upset.
Marshall vs. Memphis:
================
- Memphis, I guess.
Arkansas State vs. North Texas:
======================
- Last game for the diasterous Mean Green. I guess I am obligated to make an appearance since I live in throwing distance of the stadium. Do I really have that low of morals that I'd pick Arkansas State over my own school in the last game of the year? You better believe it.
Boise State vs. Louisiana Tech:
====================
- Boise by 25.
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State:
=======================
- Sylvester Croom is about to lose his 8th straight. And after that idiotic comment he made about Alabama's defense after they just held his team scoreless, he deserves to lose 8 straight.
UTEP vs. SMU:
===========
- UTEP by 6.
Tulane vs. Southern Miss:
==================
- Another big performance by Tulane. Shouldn't even have played this year, dudez. Southern Miss by 20.
South Florida vs. UCONN:
=================
- Yeah I'm really looking forward to that WVU and USF game next week. South Florida wins this one, and the world yawns yet again.
Florida vs. Florida State:
================
- Because I ate Thanksgiving dinner with 600 Gator alumnists, and because we share a deep hatred for Bowden and his overrated program, I will take Florida.
Syracuse vs. Louisville:
================
- A perfect ending to a perfect season for the Cuse. Syracuse goes down by 80.
Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma:
====================
- Definitely hate Oklahoma State. That's what I'm getting tattoo'd on my stomach. OU by 15.
Virginia vs. Miami:
=============
- For the love of God, save some face in this one, please. Canes by 4.
Lafayette vs. Monroe:
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- Monroe by 7 in a big rivalry game.
Utah State vs. New Mexico State:
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- Utah State in a close and very exciting pillow fight.
Rice vs. Houston:
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- Upset special, but give me Houston.
Idaho vs. San Jose State:
=================
- Sparties by 1.
Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic:
===========================
- FAU by 5.
Fresno State vs. Nevada:
=================
- Fresno will run this score up.
Middle Tennessee State vs. Troy:
======================
- MTSU by 15.
North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech:
======================
- Tech in a close game.
Notre Dame vs. Stanford:
==================
- What a huge rivalry. ND by 6,000.
Georgia vs. Georgia Tech:
===================
- You heard it here first: Georgia Tech is a 2006 national title sleeper. They'll win this game.
UAB Blazers at East Carolina Pirates (12:00 pm)
I'm tempted to pick ECU to pull a slight upset here, but I cannot in good conscience pick a team that gives up over 200 yards a game rushing over a halfway decent opponent. Enter UAB. They get most of their yards through the air, which is the strong point of ECU's defense, but UAB has surely got to be smart enough to run the ball against the Pirates. UAB by 10.
Maryland Terrapins at North Carolina State Wolfpack (12:00 pm)
Will Chuck Amato be able to get his NC State team a win and a bowl game? This is what it all comes down to: one game. So I say yes, Chuck will be taking NC State to a bowl game this year, but it's going to be close. Wolfpack by 3.
Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas Jayhawks (12:30 pm)
With a win here and a Colorado loss, Iowa State will be in the Big 12 title game against Texas. And since I have Colorado winning on Friday, I'll pick Iowa State to win on Saturday against the horrible Kansas Jayhawks. Of course, if Colorado loses, Iowa State will probably choke with the division title on the line, but I can't do picks with an if. So, Iowa State by 7.
Tennessee Volunteers at Kentucky Wildcats (12:30 pm)
It isn't strange that Tennessee isn't fighting for bowl eligibility for the last game of the year, as they are normally already bowl eligible. What is strange is that Tennessee isn't fighting for a bowl berth because they already have 6 losses. Neither team has anything to lose, really. But UK beat Vandy, which beat Tennessee, so.... Nah, that doesn't work. Vandy's loss to Kentucky was a bit of a fluke. Tennessee by 20.
Cincinnati Bearcats at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1:00 pm)
Interestingly enough, Rutgers hasn't won a game since become bowl eligible. But Rutgers has also played two of the Big East's better teams, South Florida and Louisville, since becoming bowl eligible. Cincinnati should (finally) give the Scarlet Knights win number 7. Rutgers by 21.
Boise State Broncos at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (2:00 pm)
This will be an interesting showdown, as Boise State isn't as dominant as they were the past few years, and Tech is still in the running for a WAC title if they knock off the Broncos and the Fresno State Bulldogs. It's not very likely to happen, even if it is closer than normal, but Boise State will actually have a bit of a battle on their hands with this Louisiana Tech team. This is a trap game. So will BSU pull out the win? Yes, but not by much. Boise State by 3.
Marshall Thundering Herd at Memphis Tigers (2:00 pm)
One of the nation's best running backs, who is likely to be a future NFL first rounder (well, maybe second at lowest), is playing the what may possibly be the last game of his college football career. Marshall is a better team, really, even if they are no longer bowl eligible and have a record slightly worse than Memphis. However, Marshall isn't playing for anything, while Memphis is still playing for a winning season and a possible bowl berth (depending on how the New Orleans bowl likes Memphis). Also, it's sure to be an emotional game since this is the Tiger's last home game, and DeAngelo William's last home game in a college uniform. So, even though Marshall is the better team, the better team doesn't always win. Memphis is jacked up, and they will win. Memphis by 7.
Arkansas State Indians at North Texas Mean Green (2:00 pm)
What happened? North Texas, normally the Sun Belt's best team, hasn't won a single home game this year, and they are becoming a pushover within their own conference. This is a really tough year. And this shouldn't be happening with Patrick Cobbs and Jamario Thomas in the same backfield. This team has the NCAA's last two rushing champions, and they only average 140 yards rushing the ball per game, which is pretty low by NCAA standards. Let that sink in a second. Ok, ready? Arkansas State by 13.
Mississippi Rebels at Mississippi State Bulldogs (2:30 pm)
Two things, first, Mississippi State lost to Kentucky. Yes, Kentucky. Second, Sylvester Croom said, "I don't ever think about Ole Miss. If our kids play as well as they can play, we're going to beat their butt." Note to Croom: When your team is struggling like they are, you try to avoid giving the opponent anything that can be used as bulletin board material. It can and will be used against you, no matter what you intended. Mississippi Rebels by 10.
UTEP Miners at Southern Methodist Mustangs (3:00 pm)
Well, if UTEP loses this one, Tulsa could win their division of C-USA with a win. But UTEP isn't very likely to lose this one. After getting upset by UAB last week, they're going to come out and play twice as hard this week, and make sure they get the win and remain in the C-USA title game. UTEP by 30.
Tulane Green Wave at Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3:00 pm)
Yeah, yeah, it's great that Tulane was able to field a football team this season even though their city was destroyed and all that nice stuff. It's even better though, that the season is almost done, as horrible as they have been lately. Southern Miss by 13.
South Florida Bulls at Connecticut Huskies (3:30 pm)
What once started out as a promising season for Connecticut has quickly turned into a disaster. Of course, anytime a team goes down to its third string QB, nine times out of ten, the season is shot. South Florida still has a chance at a Big East title if they can win out by winning this game and against West Virginia. And of course, so far as I know, USF hasn't gone down to their third string QB. South Florida by 21.
Florida State Seminoles at Florida Gators (3:30 pm)
I know this is a rivalry game and all, and that FSU was coasting for the past few weeks after tying up their division in the ACC, but I can't help but think they've lost some of their competitive fire. And anytime a team loses its competitive fire, it becomes a lot harder to win. Florida by 13.
Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns at Louisiana Monroe Indians (3:30 pm)
Here it is, the Sun Belt classic. TThis in state rivalry within the Sun Belt could determine who will play in the New Orleans bowl. LA Lafayette is motivated by the chance that this game offers, because if they win and North Texas wins, they win the Sun Belt title. La Monroe though, is just as motivated not to let the Sun Belt title slip away. This is going be a close call, but I think I'll take the Indians. LA Monroe by 3.
Syracuse Orange at Louisville Cardinals (3:30 pm)
Well, this one is going to get ugly. Louisville is able to score at will anytime they are playing at home, and they already beat the snot out of a better than usual Rutgers team playing here a few weeks back to the tune of 56-5. Ouch! Syracuse is even worse than that. The line is Louisville by 36 1/2. It's hard to judge because of all the things that could happen that affect the score but not the outcome, like a missed field goal, subbing in the second and third teams, that sort of thing. Nonetheless, if somebody's going to cover, it will probably be Louisville. Cardinals by 50.
Virginia Cavaliers at Miami (FL) Hurricanes (3:30 pm)
Virginia has played Virginia Tech and gotten blown out, right after Virginia Tech got beaten by Miami and had something to prove. Now Virginia travels to Miami right after the Hurricanes loss to the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, and now it's Miami that has something to prove. In other words, Virginia is playing the best teams at the worst possible times. Miami by 27.
Oklahoma State Cowboys at Oklahoma Sooners (3:30 pm)
The Sooners are coming into this game after a gut wrenching loss to Texas Tech (which Oklahoma State beat, interestingly enough) looking to bounce back and end the regular season on a good note. With the Sooners coming off a loss, they'll came back, play twice as hard, and get the win. Oklahoma by 24.
Rice Owls at Houston Cougars (4:00 pm)
Houston lost to SMU (yes, that SMU) last week, and look to rebound against an even worse opponent this week. They really need a win here to make themselves bowl eligible. The good news is that the Cougars shouldn't have any real trouble doing that. Houston by 21.
Utah State Aggies at New Mexico State Aggies (4:00 pm)
This is awful. The Aggies are fighting over which Aggies team is worse. The combined record of these two cupcakes is a combined 2-19, with NMSU at 0-11 and Utah State at 2-8. This is the pillowfight of the week folks. And I bring to you two offenses that can't score and two defenses that cannot defend. New Mexico State is averaging 261 yards per game passing, which is alright except that their rush game averages only 75 yards, and their defense gives up over 200 yards rushing and over 275 yards passing per game. Utah State is bad, but I think New Mexico will keep their winless streak intact. Utah State by 6.
Florida International Golden Panthers at Florida Atlantic Owls (6:00 pm)
Why is it that the worst teams have the longest names? Anyways, since this is a rivalry game, and the teams play very similarly, this is going to be a very close game. However, FAU has home field advantage, and the desire to beat the other Sun Belt team from Florida. Even though FIU has a little bit of momentum by winning last week, it was 3 points against Western Kentucky. Not much good. Sorry. FAU by 3 at home.
Idaho Vandals at San Jose State Spartans (6:00 pm)
San Jose State is on a roll, and should be able to close out the season with two straight wins. Idaho is almost as bad as New Mexico State, and San Jose State has home field advantage. It won't be a cakewake, since both teams are cupcakes, but SJSU should get the home win. San Jose State by 7.
Fresno State Bulldogs at Nevada Wolf Pack (7:00 pm)
Both teams are closing out their season on a Saturday night. Nevada might have a shot at the upset if they can catch Fresno State a little hung over from the close game at USC, but it's still going to have a hard time keeping the Bulldogs from the WAC title. Due to Fresno State playing at USC last week, Nevada should cover the line, but Fresno State will still clinch the WAC title. Fresno State by 10.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Troy Trojans (7:00 pm)
No matter what happens, both teams will close out with losing records, and neither one will be playing in the New Orleans bowl. Nonetheless, Troy will be highly motivated to not lose its last home game, and will pull out the close win. Trojans by 3.
North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Tech Hokies (7:45 pm)
Frank Beamer must have gotten something right, as last week, after a demoralizing loss to Miami, he whipped up a can on Virginia to the tune of 52-14. Since Miami lost, VT is once again in control of the Coastal Division. A win here should clinch the opportunity to play Florida State. John Bunting, on the other sideline, is playing just for a winning season. But he sure did pick a bad situation in which to have a 'must-win' game. Whoops. Virginia Tech by 27.
Georgia Bulldogs at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (8:00 pm)
This is a nasty little in state rivalry. Georgia, no matter what happens, is playing in the SEC title game, and Georgia Tech, no matter what happens, is still out of the running for the ACC title game. This game is strictly for bowl positioning. But it is also for pride and recruiting within Georgia. Though Georgia Tech is very confident after pulling the upset over Miami, they are bound for a letdown. Georgia by 6.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Stanford Cardinal (8:00 pm)
And there's the season. Notre Dame is playing for a 14 million dollar paycheck, and Stanford is fighting just to get into a bowl game. Money is a big motivator, as well as pride and prestige, and Notre Dame has the edge in all categories. Stanford, well, they need lots of work on defense. Notre Dame's going to rip the defense a new arse. I'm gonna say UND may hang up half a hundred. Notre Dame by 30.
TAE's picks:
UAB vs. East Carolina:
================
- I refuse to select a team coached by Spanky Holtz.
Maryland vs. NC State:
=================
- I like Amato more than Friedgen, so give me NC State.
Tennessee vs. Kentucky:
==================
- I'd expect Tennessee to come out and destroy UK just to prove a point.
Iowa State vs. Kansas:
===============
- Dan McCarney is a joke of a coach that chokes incessantly. I think they will probably win this game, though, unfortunately. Kansas is fighting for a bowl bid. I guess I'll take Iowa State.
Cincinnati vs. Rutgers:
================
- Another potential upset. God, I would love to see Cincinnati beat Rutgers. Grudza is going to be one of the best Big East QB's in a year or two, and will be better than ol' Gino eventually. Give me the upset.
Marshall vs. Memphis:
================
- Memphis, I guess.
Arkansas State vs. North Texas:
======================
- Last game for the diasterous Mean Green. I guess I am obligated to make an appearance since I live in throwing distance of the stadium. Do I really have that low of morals that I'd pick Arkansas State over my own school in the last game of the year? You better believe it.
Boise State vs. Louisiana Tech:
====================
- Boise by 25.
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State:
=======================
- Sylvester Croom is about to lose his 8th straight. And after that idiotic comment he made about Alabama's defense after they just held his team scoreless, he deserves to lose 8 straight.
UTEP vs. SMU:
===========
- UTEP by 6.
Tulane vs. Southern Miss:
==================
- Another big performance by Tulane. Shouldn't even have played this year, dudez. Southern Miss by 20.
South Florida vs. UCONN:
=================
- Yeah I'm really looking forward to that WVU and USF game next week. South Florida wins this one, and the world yawns yet again.
Florida vs. Florida State:
================
- Because I ate Thanksgiving dinner with 600 Gator alumnists, and because we share a deep hatred for Bowden and his overrated program, I will take Florida.
Syracuse vs. Louisville:
================
- A perfect ending to a perfect season for the Cuse. Syracuse goes down by 80.
Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma:
====================
- Definitely hate Oklahoma State. That's what I'm getting tattoo'd on my stomach. OU by 15.
Virginia vs. Miami:
=============
- For the love of God, save some face in this one, please. Canes by 4.
Lafayette vs. Monroe:
==============
- Monroe by 7 in a big rivalry game.
Utah State vs. New Mexico State:
========================
- Utah State in a close and very exciting pillow fight.
Rice vs. Houston:
==============
- Upset special, but give me Houston.
Idaho vs. San Jose State:
=================
- Sparties by 1.
Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic:
===========================
- FAU by 5.
Fresno State vs. Nevada:
=================
- Fresno will run this score up.
Middle Tennessee State vs. Troy:
======================
- MTSU by 15.
North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech:
======================
- Tech in a close game.
Notre Dame vs. Stanford:
==================
- What a huge rivalry. ND by 6,000.
Georgia vs. Georgia Tech:
===================
- You heard it here first: Georgia Tech is a 2006 national title sleeper. They'll win this game.
"To give anything less than the best is to sacrifice the gift." -Steve Prefontaine