6AA Playoff Picture?

[davesandstorm]

I won't go into as great of detail, but I worked out some wins/losses in my head and all that. Added the Power points where I could, and I came up with this.

1. Tyrone 9-1 1320
2. Richland 9-1 1260
3. Philipsburg-Osceola 8-2 1220
4. Forest Hills 8-2 1010
5. Ligonier 8-2 970
6. Penn Cambria 7-3 860
7. Bedford 6-4 470 760
8. Juniata 6-4 740


Few big games that can make a difference
I have Richland beating PC, but could go the other way,
I hav PO over Ligonier, but same thing.
If Forest hills beats johnstown, they go way up.
i have Ridge losing to Allegheny and bedford, but if things work out differently and Ridge beats Bedford, than they go in.


so take it for what its worth, but just know it can change quickly.

I worked mine out in the spreadsheet I have to track the standings and for this specific reason. I took LV over PO since Marion Center beat PO earlier this year. Richland/PC, PO/LV, Tyrone/Juniata, Bedford/CR, and FH/Jtown all go a long way in determining how these seedings will fall. But at this point barring anything nutty, it's a nine team race.

[GoDragons]

I believe Ridge has a good chance of beating Allegany. Only three of eight teams Allegany has played have a winning record. And, Allegany's three wins are against:

Southern HS (3-5) 24-21
Maryland Academy Tech & Health Sciences (1-6) 42-20
Frankfort (2-6) 57-36

I think if Ridge wins, it may be hard for Bedford to catch them even if Bedford beats Ridge in week 10.

[davesandstorm]

Each team wins next week and Bedford wins week 10:

Chestnut Ridge 740 base, 770 total most likely

Berlin plays Windber, and most likely should lose
Conemaugh Township has a tough matchup with North Star
Keystone should probably be able to pick up 1 more win this year vs winless Johnsonburg week 10
Meyersdale should beat Rockwood
Portage should beat CV next week, then have a playoff game week 10
Allegany has Fort Hill week 10 and should lose

Bedford 750 base, 770 total most likely (BG/Westmont, Somerset/Heights play each other still)

Head-to-head gives the nod to Bedford in this scenario. Chestnut Ridge has to hope that Portage/Meyersdale make it to the playoffs and win a game in week 10, otherwise Bedford is in better shape with less "help factors."

[GoDragons]

Good call. I forgot to add Ridge's bonus points to Bedford should Bedford win. That would give Bedford an additional 60 points assuming Ridge beats Allegany.

[Manfred]

I'm probably wrong, but I thought week 10 games did not count towards playoff seeds. In AA. Can I get a def. answer on this?

[Crimson's Ghost]

It does, thats why you are required to play 10 games. When the 10th game was first introduced, it was not mandatory or it did not count. But if you'll notice, all of the AA teams have a 10th game. Thats why Ligonier was shuffling around last year, and found a game with Derry late in the year.

[davesandstorm]

Edit to my last post. I just completely breezed over the fact that if Conemaugh Township loses, they'll probably play a week 10 playoff game themselves. Who they'll play is a mystery to me at this point, but they should obviously be favored in that game. Chestnut Ridge is in a little better shape than I gave them credit for, especially if they were to somehow end up facing Meyersdale, giving Ridge a guaranteed 10 points.

[Eaglealum]

I'm probably wrong, but I thought week 10 games did not count towards playoff seeds. In AA. Can I get a def. answer on this?

They do count...the problem in the past has been bonus pts from wins against A teams that are already starting playoffs. Like last year for example, Tyrone beats BA, BA gets a bye week 10 , Tyrone gets no bonus pts. same way with the Rangers if McCort gets a bye.

[deepcreek]

P-O getting beat by Marion Center is almost as big as an upset as Johnstown losing to CC. Neither make any sense at all and both games were played in the worst possible field conditions. Ligonier vs P-O will be an interesting game

[jack daniel]

P-O getting beat by Marion Center is almost as big as an upset as Johnstown losing to CC. Neither make any sense at all and both games were played in the worst possible field conditions. Ligonier vs P-O will be an interesting game

P-O (-21) vs LV